Sunday Investment Times
Well, now that the ferocity of semester-end has finished, I can get back to some serious thinking. The following are eight trends I’ve been thinking about for a while now, and in the weeks to come I’ll be expanding on each trend in terms of entrepreneurial and investing opportunities. If there are major trends you believe I have missed, please let me know in the comments and I’ll consider them. These trends are important in the medium- and long-term, but to take advantage of each one there are things to be done in the short-term.
- Chinese canal through Nicaragua
- The Nicaragua canal will accommodate larger ships than the Panama canal so shipping costs will be lower
- Potential increase in U.S. protectionism as it will be a Chinese-controlled shipping route es bueno el viagra generico
- Continued industrialization of emerging markets (e.g. China)
- Increased scarcity of ‘rare earth minerals’ esp. tantalite for fiber optic networks
- Satellite communication will become more important
- More contract & less full-time work
- Firms that arrange contracts will be more in demand
- Continued environment-based restrictions on business in industrialized economies which will slow growth & raise energy costs
- De-industrialization of food chain in developed economies w/ more & smaller farming and ranching operations
- Cost of land will rise & cost of food will rise; people are willing to pay for good food
- Large food producers will catch on & we’ll see downward pressure on food prices again (5-10 years?) como se chama o viagra generico
- Water shortages because of price controls will continue to be a problem
- Regulatory avoidance will push more & more financial transactions to mobile tech
- Capital raising will be more at the ‘kickstarter’ level duree cialis 20mg
- Banks’ profit margins will get squeezed more & more, causing them to reach for profit in other ways
- More securitization of existing products
- Bitcoin rivals will show up, as better technology is developed cheap viagra sildenafil
- Regulators will continue to seek ways to oversee financial technology & this will likely push entrepreneurs into locating into friendlier countries
- Increased regulations & taxation levels will continue to push U.S. firms to relocate
- Counterbalances include freer trade with Europe & Asia
- Increased competition in education will attenuate
- Fewer people will get degrees, but it won’t be a major reduction in levels
- The big losers will be the lower-reputation schools
- Schools that attract high performers will likely partner with major corporations to share costs & create talent pipelines
- 3D printing will continue to replace traditional manufacturing and open new opportunities for cheaper production of complex machines
The Cranky Finance Prof Spouts Off
This is a mixed bag of economics, finance, and political philosophy.
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2 CommentsThoughts? Comments?
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Toni Sopocko May 31, 2015 , 10:10 am Vote0
Thank you for writing. Interesting stuff.
Reagan Rothbard May 31, 2015 , 10:52 am Vote0
This is going to be great!